Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Puente de Génave: VOX would keep its majority

Puente de Génave (Jaén, 2,175 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

VOX+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 59.5% of the vote (2023: 49.2%) Majority 97%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 27.5% of the vote (2023: 35.1%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.2% of the vote (2023: 14.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. VOXVox 49.2% → 59.5% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 35.1% → 27.5% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 14.9% → 12.2% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,373 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Puente de Génave in size, in Jaén

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