La Puerta de Segura: PP would keep its majority
La Puerta de Segura (Jaén, 2,245 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 67%PP majority
- 1,542valid votes in 2023 (84% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 51.0% of the vote (2023: 51.7%)
Majority 67%
PSOE−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 39.8% of the vote (2023: 43.8%)
Majority 10%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 8.7% of the vote (2023: 4.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 24% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 51.7% → 51.0% 6 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 43.8% → 39.8% 5 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 4.0% → 8.7% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,542 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.