España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Torreblascopedro: UA would keep its majority

Torreblascopedro (Jaén, 2,460 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

UA±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 60.8% of the vote (2023: 56.9%) Majority 98%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 36.2% of the vote (2023: 39.0%) Majority 2%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. UALocal lists 56.9% → 60.8% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 39.0% → 36.2% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 3.1% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,737 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Torreblascopedro in size, in Jaén

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