Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Santo Tomé: PSOE would keep its majority

Santo Tomé (Jaén, 2,105 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 61.0% of the vote (2023: 62.3%) Majority 93%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 38.4% of the vote (2023: 37.1%) Majority 7%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 62.3% → 61.0% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 37.1% → 38.4% 4 → 4 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,315 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santo Tomé in size, in Jaén

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