Marmolejo: PSOE would keep its majority
Marmolejo (Jaén, 6,660 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- over 99%PSOE majority
- 4,100valid votes in 2023 (74% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
10
councillors (2023: 11) · 69.1% of the vote (2023: 73.7%)
Majority over 99%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 15.4% of the vote (2023: 16.2%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 11.1% of the vote (2023: 5.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 73.7% → 69.1% 11 → 10 councillors
- PPPP 16.2% → 15.4% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 5.8% → 11.1% 0 → 1 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 3.1% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,100 valid votes including 49 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.