Higuera de Calatrava: UA would keep its majority
Higuera de Calatrava (Jaén, 609 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%UA majority
- 430valid votes in 2023 (91% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Higuera de Calatrava
Higuera de Calatrava is a municipality in the province of Jaén with 609 inhabitants, the 88th largest of its 97 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 UA came first with 69.1% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 90.9% of the 473 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps UA on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- UALocal lists 69.1% → 72.3% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 25.6% → 24.9% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 4.7% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 430 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.