Espeluy: no list would have a majority, UCIN largest
Espeluy (Jaén, 606 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 57%no list with a majority
- 438valid votes in 2023 (85% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
UCIN±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 45.0% of the vote (2023: 42.0%)
Majority 42%
PSOE±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 34.3% of the vote (2023: 37.0%)
Majority 1%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 20.3% of the vote (2023: 20.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 57% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- UCINLocal lists 42.0% → 45.0% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 37.0% → 34.3% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 20.5% → 20.3% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 438 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.