Espeluy: no list would have a majority, UCIN largest
Espeluy (Jaén, 606 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 57%no list with a majority
- 438valid votes in 2023 (85% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 57% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Espeluy
Espeluy is a municipality in the province of Jaén with 606 inhabitants, the 89th largest of its 97 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 UCIN came first with 42% of the vote and 3 seats; PSOE was second with 3. 85% of the 515 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: UCIN would be largest on 3 of 7.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- UCINLocal lists 42.0% → 45.0% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 37.0% → 34.3% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 20.5% → 20.3% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 438 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.