Guarromán: PP would keep its majority
Guarromán (Jaén, 2,748 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 93%PP majority
- 1,583valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 56.0% of the vote (2023: 54.8%)
Majority 93%
PSOE±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 24.3% of the vote (2023: 26.8%)
Majority 0%
PSLF±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 18.7% of the vote (2023: 17.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 7% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 54.8% → 56.0% 6 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 26.8% → 24.3% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSLFLocal lists 17.4% → 18.7% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,583 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.