Begíjar: PSOE would keep its majority
Begíjar (Jaén, 3,008 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 61%PSOE majority
- 2,052valid votes in 2023 (82% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 43.8% of the vote (2023: 47.8%)
Majority 61%
PP−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 27.3% of the vote (2023: 28.0%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 16.9% of the vote (2023: 10.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 39% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 47.8% → 43.8% 6 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 28.0% → 27.3% 4 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 10.2% → 16.9% 1 → 2 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 4.4% → 4.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- JM+Local lists 3.4% → 3.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 5.3% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,052 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.