Alcalá la Real: PP would keep its majority
Alcalá la Real (Jaén, 21,556 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- over 99%PP majority
- 12,189valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Alcalá la Real
Alcalá la Real is a municipality in the province of Jaén with 21,556 inhabitants, the 6th largest of its 97 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 60.3% of the vote and 14 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 5. 70.5% of the 17,287 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 14 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 60.3% → 60.6% 14 → 14 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 23.3% → 20.3% 5 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 5.3% → 10.5% 1 → 2 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 4.1% → 4.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 5.8% → 3.5% 1 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 0.5% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 12,189 valid votes including 101 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.