Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Sant Lluís: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Sant Lluís (Illes Balears, 6,953 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 41.6% of the vote (2023: 41.2%) Majority 23%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 22.6% of the vote (2023: 25.3%) Majority 0%
VOLEM SANT LLUÍS±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 22.5% of the vote (2023: 21.0%) Majority 0%
PERXB±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.9% of the vote (2023: 10.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 77% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Sant Lluís

Sant Lluís is a municipality in the province of Illes Balears with 6,953 inhabitants, the 33rd largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 41.2% of the vote and 6 seats; PSOE was second with 3. 51.4% of the 5,343 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 6 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 41.2% → 41.6% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 25.3% → 22.6% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOLEM SANT LLUÍSLocal lists 21.0% → 22.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. PERXBLocal lists 10.2% → 10.9% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,747 valid votes including 65 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sant Lluís in size, in Illes Balears

Every municipality in Illes Balears → · All of Spain →