Es Castell: PP would keep its majority
Es Castell (Illes Balears, 7,525 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 66%PP majority
- 3,426valid votes in 2023 (59% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
7
councillors (2023: 7) · 47.4% of the vote (2023: 46.7%)
Majority 66%
PSOE±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 21.8% of the vote (2023: 24.4%)
Majority 0%
SOM ES CASTELL±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 18.8% of the vote (2023: 17.6%)
Majority 0%
IPEC±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 8.7% of the vote (2023: 8.1%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 34% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 46.7% → 47.4% 7 → 7 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 24.4% → 21.8% 3 → 3 councillors
- SOM ES CASTELLLocal lists 17.6% → 18.8% 2 → 2 councillors
- IPECLocal lists 8.1% → 8.7% 1 → 1 councillors
- PERXBLocal lists 1.9% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,426 valid votes including 45 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.