España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Sant Josep de sa Talaia: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Sant Josep de sa Talaia (Illes Balears, 28,813 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
10 councillors (2023: 10) · 43.4% of the vote (2023: 44.8%) Majority 44%
PSIB-PSOE−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 25.8% of the vote (2023: 29.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.5% of the vote (2023: 8.6%) Majority 0%
ARA EIVISSA-AM+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.4% of the vote (2023: 6.6%) Majority 0%
EUIB - UNIDAS PODEMOS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.0% of the vote (2023: 6.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 56% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 44.8% → 43.4% 10 → 10 councillors
  2. PSIB-PSOEPSOE 29.6% → 25.8% 7 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.6% → 14.5% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. ARA EIVISSA-AMERC 6.6% → 8.4% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. EUIB - UNIDAS PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 6.5% → 4.0% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. PERXBLocal lists 2.0% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,522 valid votes including 163 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sant Josep de sa Talaia in size, in Illes Balears

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