Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Sa Pobla: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Sa Pobla (Illes Balears, 14,005 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 29.3% of the vote (2023: 31.3%) Majority 1%
IXSP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 24.2% of the vote (2023: 24.3%) Majority 0%
MÉS±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.6% of the vote (2023: 18.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.3% of the vote (2023: 7.2%) Majority 0%
EL PI±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.3% of the vote (2023: 8.3%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.5% of the vote (2023: 9.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Sa Pobla

Sa Pobla is a municipality in the province of Illes Balears with 14,005 inhabitants, the 16th largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 31.3% of the vote and 6 seats; IXSP was second with 5. 67.7% of the 9,058 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 6 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 31.3% → 29.3% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. IXSPLocal lists 24.3% → 24.2% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. MÉSLocal lists 18.7% → 18.6% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. VOXVox 7.2% → 12.3% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. EL PILocal lists 8.3% → 8.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. PSOEPSOE 9.5% → 6.5% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,132 valid votes including 43 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sa Pobla in size, in Illes Balears

Every municipality in Illes Balears → · All of Spain →