Esporles: MÉS would keep its majority
Esporles (Illes Balears, 5,182 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 83%MÉS majority
- 2,621valid votes in 2023 (68% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 17% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Esporles
Esporles is a municipality in the province of Illes Balears with 5,182 inhabitants, the 40th largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 MÉS came first with 50.6% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 67.6% of the 3,880 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps MÉS on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 83% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- MÉSLocal lists 50.6% → 50.7% 7 → 7 councillors
- PPPP 23.1% → 21.4% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSIB-PSOEPSOE 17.9% → 14.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 7.1% → 12.2% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,621 valid votes including 35 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.