Es Mercadal: no list would have a majority, ENTESA largest
Es Mercadal (Illes Balears, 5,676 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 99%no list with a majority
- 2,089valid votes in 2023 (51% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ENTESA+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 35.9% of the vote (2023: 33.5%)
Majority 1%
PSOE−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 32.1% of the vote (2023: 34.8%)
Majority under 1%
PP±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 30.3% of the vote (2023: 30.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ENTESALocal lists 33.5% → 35.9% 4 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 34.8% → 32.1% 5 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 30.2% → 30.3% 4 → 4 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,089 valid votes including 34 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.