Es Mercadal: no list would have a majority, ENTESA largest
Es Mercadal (Illes Balears, 5,676 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 99%no list with a majority
- 2,089valid votes in 2023 (51% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Es Mercadal
Es Mercadal is a municipality in the province of Illes Balears with 5,676 inhabitants, the 38th largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 34.8% of the vote and 5 seats; ENTESA was second with 4. 50.9% of the 4,105 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: ENTESA would be largest on 5 of 13.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ENTESALocal lists 33.5% → 35.9% 4 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 34.8% → 32.1% 5 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 30.2% → 30.3% 4 → 4 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,089 valid votes including 34 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.