Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Encinasola: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Encinasola (Huelva, 1,275 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 36.6% of the vote (2023: 36.6%) Majority 4%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 34.1% of the vote (2023: 36.0%) Majority under 1%
PP+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 28.7% of the vote (2023: 26.6%) Majority under 1%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 95% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Encinasola

Encinasola is a municipality in the province of Huelva with 1,275 inhabitants, the 50th largest of its 80 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 36.6% of the vote and 4 seats; CON ANDALUCÍA was second with 3. 74.3% of the 1,157 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE-A would be largest on 3 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 36.6% → 36.6% 4 → 3 councillors
  2. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 36.0% → 34.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 26.6% → 28.7% 2 → 3 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 860 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Encinasola in size, in Huelva

Every municipality in Huelva → · All of Spain →