Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

La Zarza-Perrunal: AHORA INDEPENDIENTES would keep its majority

La Zarza-Perrunal (Huelva, 1,230 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

AHORA INDEPENDIENTES±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 49.3% of the vote (2023: 44.5%) Majority 81%
PSOE-A±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 28.1% of the vote (2023: 29.9%) Majority under 1%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.7% of the vote (2023: 16.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 18% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. AHORA INDEPENDIENTESLocal lists 44.5% → 49.3% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 29.9% → 28.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 16.2% → 13.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PPPP 8.6% → 8.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 844 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Zarza-Perrunal in size, in Huelva

Every municipality in Huelva → · All of Spain →