Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cumbres Mayores: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Cumbres Mayores (Huelva, 1,737 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 34.8% of the vote (2023: 37.4%) Majority 9%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 26.3% of the vote (2023: 26.3%) Majority 0%
PNP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 17.1% of the vote (2023: 15.9%) Majority 0%
CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 16.6% of the vote (2023: 15.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 91% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 37.4% → 34.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 26.3% → 26.3% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PNPLocal lists 15.9% → 17.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 15.5% → 16.6% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. A.C-I.Local lists 3.5% → 3.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,125 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cumbres Mayores in size, in Huelva

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