Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Almonaster la Real: PSOE-A would keep its majority

Almonaster la Real (Huelva, 1,785 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 57.9% of the vote (2023: 60.9%) Majority 97%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 30.0% of the vote (2023: 30.0%) Majority under 1%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 60.9% → 57.9% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 30.0% → 30.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 4.5% → 9.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 3.6% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,100 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Almonaster la Real in size, in Huelva

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