Manzanilla: PP would keep its majority
Manzanilla (Huelva, 2,119 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 91%PP majority
- 1,560valid votes in 2023 (83% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
7
councillors (2023: 7) · 54.8% of the vote (2023: 53.5%)
Majority 91%
PSOE-A−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 28.6% of the vote (2023: 31.1%)
Majority under 1%
AHORA INDEPENDIENTES+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 7.4% of the vote (2023: 6.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 8% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 53.5% → 54.8% 7 → 7 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 31.1% → 28.6% 4 → 3 councillors
- AHORA INDEPENDIENTESLocal lists 6.9% → 7.4% 0 → 1 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 6.7% → 7.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,560 valid votes including 29 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.