Yebes: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Yebes (Guadalajara, 4,936 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 1,867valid votes in 2023 (57% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Yebes
Yebes is a municipality in the province of Guadalajara with 4,936 inhabitants, the 10th largest of its 288 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 30.8% of the vote and 4 seats; PSOE was second with 4. 57.3% of the 3,257 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 4 of 11.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 30.8% → 30.2% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 29.1% → 25.9% 4 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 16.9% → 25.8% 2 → 3 councillors
- 40CSumar, Podemos and allies 13.8% → 10.7% 1 → 1 councillors
- REGENERACIÓN!Local lists 4.5% → 4.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- UNIDAS-PODEMOS-IUSumar, Podemos and allies 4.2% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,867 valid votes including 14 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.