Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Pastrana: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Pastrana (Guadalajara, 850 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 37.1% of the vote (2023: 39.1%) Majority 11%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 26.1% of the vote (2023: 30.5%) Majority 0%
PV±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 18.7% of the vote (2023: 18.6%) Majority 0%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 17.5% of the vote (2023: 11.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 89% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Pastrana

Pastrana is a municipality in the province of Guadalajara with 850 inhabitants, the 35th largest of its 288 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 39.1% of the vote and 3 seats; PSOE was second with 2. 77.7% of the 704 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 3 of 7.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 39.1% → 37.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 30.5% → 26.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PVLocal lists 18.6% → 18.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 11.2% → 17.5% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 547 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Pastrana in size, in Guadalajara

Every municipality in Guadalajara → · All of Spain →