Galápagos: G A would keep its majority
Galápagos (Guadalajara, 2,600 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- over 99%G A majority
- 1,281valid votes in 2023 (66% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Galápagos
Galápagos is a municipality in the province of Guadalajara with 2,600 inhabitants, the 18th largest of its 288 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 G A came first with 62% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 65.8% of the 1,948 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps G A on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- G ALocal lists 62.0% → 61.6% 8 → 7 councillors
- PPPP 18.5% → 16.8% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 7.5% → 12.7% 0 → 1 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 11.5% → 8.3% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,281 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.