Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Molina de Aragón: PSOE would keep its majority

Molina de Aragón (Guadalajara, 3,234 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 70.2% of the vote (2023: 71.2%) Majority over 99%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.0% of the vote (2023: 20.7%) Majority 0%
IPM+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.8% of the vote (2023: 7.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 71.2% → 70.2% 9 → 8 councillors
  2. PPPP 20.7% → 21.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. IPMLocal lists 7.1% → 7.8% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,712 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Molina de Aragón in size, in Guadalajara

Every municipality in Guadalajara → · All of Spain →