Fontanar: ETF would keep its majority
Fontanar (Guadalajara, 2,567 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 96%ETF majority
- 1,321valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 4% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Fontanar
Fontanar is a municipality in the province of Guadalajara with 2,567 inhabitants, the 19th largest of its 288 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 ETF came first with 51.4% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 3. 73.4% of the 1,799 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps ETF on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 96% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ETFLocal lists 51.4% → 53.7% 6 → 7 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 22.9% → 19.8% 3 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 13.6% → 12.7% 1 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 2.6% → 6.8% 0 → 1 councillors
- UNIDAS-IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 8.7% → 6.1% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,321 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.