Espinosa de Henares: HEM would keep its majority
Espinosa de Henares (Guadalajara, 625 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%HEM majority
- 394valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Espinosa de Henares
Espinosa de Henares is a municipality in the province of Guadalajara with 625 inhabitants, the 38th largest of its 288 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 HEM came first with 63.2% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 1. 78.5% of the 502 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps HEM on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- HEMLocal lists 63.2% → 68.0% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 18.3% → 18.0% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 15.5% → 13.0% 1 → 1 councillors
- UNIDAS-IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 2.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 394 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.