Espinosa de Henares: HEM would keep its majority
Espinosa de Henares (Guadalajara, 625 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%HEM majority
- 394valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
HEM±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 68.0% of the vote (2023: 63.2%)
Majority over 99%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 18.0% of the vote (2023: 18.3%)
Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 13.0% of the vote (2023: 15.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- HEMLocal lists 63.2% → 68.0% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 18.3% → 18.0% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 15.5% → 13.0% 1 → 1 councillors
- UNIDAS-IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 2.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 394 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.