España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Cabanillas del Campo: PSOE would keep its majority

Cabanillas del Campo (Guadalajara, 10,968 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 44.3% of the vote (2023: 48.9%) Majority 42%
VOX+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.5% of the vote (2023: 15.4%) Majority 0%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 22.7% of the vote (2023: 23.8%) Majority 0%
UNIDAS-PODEMOS-IU−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.7% of the vote (2023: 7.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 58% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 48.9% → 44.3% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. VOXVox 15.4% → 23.5% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 23.8% → 22.7% 4 → 4 councillors
  4. UNIDAS-PODEMOS-IUSumar, Podemos and allies 7.2% → 4.7% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 3.2% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,483 valid votes including 80 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cabanillas del Campo in size, in Guadalajara

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