Villa de Otura: PSOE-A would keep its majority
Villa de Otura (Granada, 7,362 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 79%PSOE-A majority
- 3,704valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 21% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Villa de Otura
Villa de Otura is a municipality in the province of Granada with 7,362 inhabitants, the 29th largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 54.6% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 63% of the 5,875 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE-A on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 79% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 54.6% → 50.9% 8 → 7 councillors
- PPPP 24.8% → 24.3% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 10.3% → 17.2% 1 → 2 councillors
- PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 9.1% → 6.5% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,704 valid votes including 43 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.