Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Monachil: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Monachil (Granada, 8,182 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 37.7% of the vote (2023: 40.1%) Majority 4%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 37.3% of the vote (2023: 36.6%) Majority 5%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.1% of the vote (2023: 7.8%) Majority 0%
PARA LA GENTE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.8% of the vote (2023: 12.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 91% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 40.1% → 37.7% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 36.6% → 37.3% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.8% → 14.1% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 12.4% → 9.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 2.0% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,649 valid votes including 40 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Monachil in size, in Granada

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