Ogíjares: PP would keep its majority
Ogíjares (Granada, 14,627 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- over 99%PP majority
- 7,273valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Ogíjares
Ogíjares is a municipality in the province of Granada with 14,627 inhabitants, the 15th largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 59.2% of the vote and 13 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 2. 63.3% of the 11,496 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 12 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 59.2% → 59.2% 13 → 12 councillors
- VOXVox 6.5% → 12.1% 1 → 2 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 13.1% → 10.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- APPOLocal lists 8.9% → 9.3% 1 → 1 councillors
- PRIOGLocal lists 4.4% → 4.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.7% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 2.8% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 1.6% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,273 valid votes including 64 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.