España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

La Zubia: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

La Zubia (Granada, 19,593 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 34.3% of the vote (2023: 37.9%) Majority 3%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 27.9% of the vote (2023: 28.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.3% of the vote (2023: 10.5%) Majority 0%
PARA LA GENTE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 8.4% of the vote (2023: 11.3%) Majority 0%
LZY±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.9% of the vote (2023: 7.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 37.9% → 34.3% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 28.6% → 27.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.5% → 17.3% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 11.3% → 8.4% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. LZYLocal lists 7.6% → 7.9% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 2.3% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,483 valid votes including 148 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Zubia in size, in Granada

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