Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Fonelas: PP would keep its majority

Fonelas (Granada, 981 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 57.1% of the vote (2023: 54.0%) Majority 99%
PSOE-A±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 27.2% of the vote (2023: 28.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Fonelas

Fonelas is a municipality in the province of Granada with 981 inhabitants, the 105th largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 54% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 2. 81.5% of the 790 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 54.0% → 57.1% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 28.9% → 27.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. UCINLocal lists 7.0% → 7.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 9.9% → 7.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 644 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Fonelas in size, in Granada

Every municipality in Granada → · All of Spain →