Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cortes y Graena: GICG would keep its majority

Cortes y Graena (Granada, 994 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

GICG±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 50.0% of the vote (2023: 49.0%) Majority 81%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 31.5% of the vote (2023: 32.9%) Majority 1%
PSOE-A±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.0% of the vote (2023: 16.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 18% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. GICGLocal lists 49.0% → 50.0% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 32.9% → 31.5% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOE-APSOE 16.2% → 13.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 0.7% → 4.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 690 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cortes y Graena in size, in Granada

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