Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Fonelas: PP would keep its majority

Fonelas (Granada, 981 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 57.1% of the vote (2023: 54.0%) Majority 99%
PSOE-A±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 27.2% of the vote (2023: 28.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 54.0% → 57.1% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 28.9% → 27.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. UCINLocal lists 7.0% → 7.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 9.9% → 7.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 644 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Fonelas in size, in Granada

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