Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cogollos de Guadix: PP would keep its majority

Cogollos de Guadix (Granada, 636 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 56.0% of the vote (2023: 54.8%) Majority 90%
PSOE-A±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 25.0% of the vote (2023: 27.6%) Majority 0%
CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 18.9% of the vote (2023: 17.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 10% of 300 simulated elections.

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Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Cogollos de Guadix

Cogollos de Guadix is a municipality in the province of Granada with 636 inhabitants, the 131st largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 54.8% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 2. 91.4% of the 571 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 90% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 54.8% → 56.0% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 27.6% → 25.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. CSCiudadanos 17.6% → 18.9% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 522 valid votes including 0 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cogollos de Guadix in size, in Granada

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