Arenas del Rey: no list would have a majority, VOX largest
Arenas del Rey (Granada, 623 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 97%no list with a majority
- 394valid votes in 2023 (81% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
VOX+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 35.0% of the vote (2023: 25.9%)
Majority 2%
PSOE-A−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 32.5% of the vote (2023: 38.6%)
Majority under 1%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 32.0% of the vote (2023: 35.0%)
Majority 1%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- VOXVox 25.9% → 35.0% 2 → 3 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 38.6% → 32.5% 3 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 35.0% → 32.0% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 394 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.