Arenas del Rey: no list would have a majority, VOX largest
Arenas del Rey (Granada, 623 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 97%no list with a majority
- 394valid votes in 2023 (81% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Arenas del Rey
Arenas del Rey is a municipality in the province of Granada with 623 inhabitants, the 132nd largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 38.6% of the vote and 3 seats; PP was second with 2. 80.7% of the 488 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: VOX would be largest on 3 of 7.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- VOXVox 25.9% → 35.0% 2 → 3 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 38.6% → 32.5% 3 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 35.0% → 32.0% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 394 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.