Cájar: PP would keep its majority
Cájar (Granada, 5,389 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 98%PP majority
- 2,765valid votes in 2023 (65% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Cájar
Cájar is a municipality in the province of Granada with 5,389 inhabitants, the 39th largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 55.9% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 3. 64.5% of the 4,286 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 98% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 55.9% → 55.2% 8 → 9 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 21.0% → 17.8% 3 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 9.1% → 15.4% 1 → 2 councillors
- PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 7.9% → 5.3% 1 → 0 councillors
- PARTIDO AUTÓNOMOSLocal lists 5.1% → 5.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,765 valid votes including 29 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.