Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Chauchina: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Chauchina (Granada, 5,667 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 30.6% of the vote (2023: 30.4%) Majority under 1%
PSOE-A−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 26.1% of the vote (2023: 28.7%) Majority 0%
PARA LA GENTE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 20.1% of the vote (2023: 23.6%) Majority 0%
VXCH±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.6% of the vote (2023: 12.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.5% of the vote (2023: 3.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 30.4% → 30.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 28.7% → 26.1% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 23.6% → 20.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. VXCHLocal lists 12.7% → 13.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. VOXVox 3.7% → 8.5% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,035 valid votes including 32 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Chauchina in size, in Granada

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