Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

La Jonquera: ERC - AM would win a majority

La Jonquera (Girona, 3,317 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC - AM+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 45.0% of the vote (2023: 37.7%) Majority 51%
CM−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 34.0% of the vote (2023: 40.3%) Majority 3%
TPLJ - SOS - CP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.0% of the vote (2023: 14.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 45% of 300 simulated elections.

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About La Jonquera

La Jonquera is a municipality in the province of Girona with 3,317 inhabitants, the 46th largest of its 221 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 40.3% of the vote and 5 seats; ERC - AM was second with 5. 66.8% of the 1,776 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps ERC - AM on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 51% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC - AMERC 37.7% → 45.0% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. CMJunts 40.3% → 34.0% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. TPLJ - SOS - CPPSOE 14.8% → 11.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 3.3% → 7.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 1.6% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PPPP 1.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,186 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Jonquera in size, in Girona

Every municipality in Girona → · All of Spain →