Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

L'Escala: no list would have a majority, CP largest

L'Escala (Girona, 10,520 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CP−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 37.9% of the vote (2023: 42.7%) Majority 18%
ERC - AM+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.1% of the vote (2023: 12.8%) Majority 0%
G'E-SP-AMUNT±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.8% of the vote (2023: 12.6%) Majority 0%
APL'E-ARA PL±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 10.5% of the vote (2023: 10.4%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 9.1% of the vote (2023: 4.5%) Majority 0%
CM±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.9% of the vote (2023: 8.8%) Majority 0%
ECL-C−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.9% of the vote (2023: 6.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 82% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About L'Escala

L'Escala is a municipality in the province of Girona with 10,520 inhabitants, the 20th largest of its 221 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CP came first with 42.7% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; ERC - AM was second with 2. 48.3% of the 6,617 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CP would be largest on 8 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CPPSOE 42.7% → 37.9% 9 → 8 councillors
  2. ERC - AMERC 12.8% → 16.1% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. G'E-SP-AMUNTCUP 12.6% → 12.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. APL'E-ARA PLLocal lists 10.4% → 10.5% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. VOXVox 4.5% → 9.1% 0 → 1 councillors
  6. CMJunts 8.8% → 7.9% 1 → 1 councillors
  7. ECL-CSumar, Podemos and allies 6.3% → 3.9% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,198 valid votes including 57 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near L'Escala in size, in Girona

Every municipality in Girona → · All of Spain →