Casasimarro: PP would keep its majority
Casasimarro (Cuenca, 3,140 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 54%PP majority
- 1,863valid votes in 2023 (83% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 45% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Casasimarro
Casasimarro is a municipality in the province of Cuenca with 3,140 inhabitants, the 10th largest of its 238 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 44.9% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 82.7% of the 2,253 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 54% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 44.9% → 44.7% 6 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 31.8% → 28.6% 4 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 6.4% → 12.0% 0 → 1 councillors
- TÚPATRIALocal lists 7.0% → 7.4% 0 → 1 councillors
- UP-AC-IUSumar, Podemos and allies 8.7% → 6.2% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,863 valid votes including 21 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.