Casasimarro: PP would keep its majority
Casasimarro (Cuenca, 3,140 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 54%PP majority
- 1,863valid votes in 2023 (83% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 44.7% of the vote (2023: 44.9%)
Majority 54%
PSOE−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 28.6% of the vote (2023: 31.8%)
Majority under 1%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 12.0% of the vote (2023: 6.4%)
Majority 0%
TÚPATRIA+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 7.4% of the vote (2023: 7.0%)
Majority 0%
UP-AC-IU−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 6.2% of the vote (2023: 8.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 45% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 44.9% → 44.7% 6 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 31.8% → 28.6% 4 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 6.4% → 12.0% 0 → 1 councillors
- TÚPATRIALocal lists 7.0% → 7.4% 0 → 1 councillors
- UP-AC-IUSumar, Podemos and allies 8.7% → 6.2% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,863 valid votes including 21 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.