Posadas: PP would win a majority
Posadas (Córdoba, 7,267 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 45%PP majority
- 3,898valid votes in 2023 (66% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 18% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Posadas
Posadas is a municipality in the province of Córdoba with 7,267 inhabitants, the 21st largest of its 77 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 46.5% of the vote and 6 seats; PP was second with 6. 66% of the 5,903 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 45% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 44.0% → 46.7% 6 → 7 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 46.5% → 45.8% 6 → 6 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 8.3% → 6.2% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,898 valid votes including 50 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.