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Villa del Río: no list would have a majority, UNIDE largest

Villa del Río (Córdoba, 6,993 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

UNIDE±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 44.4% of the vote (2023: 41.7%) Majority 51%
PSOE-A±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 26.8% of the vote (2023: 29.6%) Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.6% of the vote (2023: 17.8%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.3% of the vote (2023: 8.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 49% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Villa del Río

Villa del Río is a municipality in the province of Córdoba with 6,993 inhabitants, the 23rd largest of its 77 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 UNIDE came first with 41.7% of the vote and 6 seats; PSOE-A was second with 4. 68.5% of the 5,661 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: UNIDE would be largest on 6 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. UNIDELocal lists 41.7% → 44.4% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 29.6% → 26.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 17.8% → 14.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PPPP 8.1% → 7.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. VOXVox 1.6% → 5.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,875 valid votes including 44 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Villa del Río in size, in Córdoba

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