Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Hinojosa del Duque: PP would win a majority

Hinojosa del Duque (Córdoba, 6,640 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 49.5% of the vote (2023: 46.6%) Majority 57%
PSOE-A−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 41.4% of the vote (2023: 42.2%) Majority 15%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.7% of the vote (2023: 9.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 28% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 46.6% → 49.5% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 42.2% → 41.4% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 9.8% → 7.7% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,180 valid votes including 60 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Hinojosa del Duque in size, in Córdoba

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